The Essentials

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The Essentials
The Essentials
When do the numbers become the numbers?

When do the numbers become the numbers?

A few clarifying thoughts about polling and a key point about reaching voters

John L. Micek's avatar
John L. Micek
Oct 13, 2024
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The Essentials
The Essentials
When do the numbers become the numbers?
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Photo by Ian Hutchinson on Unsplash

I was talking to a veteran Democratic consultant last week when he offered a thought about polling that was so tremendously clarifying that I wished I had come up with it myself.

In short, at a certain point, the polling margins become so steady and so consistent that it’s safe to assume that they are the actual number…

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